Sometimes I predict skillfully, other times a coin-flipping monkey would have better luck. Either way, every time there’s a UFC event, I do predictions on GuysNation, giving as much insight into my reasoning as possible. Without further ado, here we go.

Preliminary card

* Lightweight bout:
United States – Jacob Volkmann vs. United States – Antonio McKee

Volkmann hasn’t lost in his last two fights, after a switch to Lightweight.  Antonio McKee hasn’t lost since February of 2003.  Volkmann is 30 years old, McKee is 40, and while they each have something in their favor, I’ll predict that there’s a reason McKee never made it to UFC until now.
Prediction: Jacob Volkmann

* Welterweight bout:
United States – Daniel Roberts vs. United States – Greg Soto

They both only have 1 loss, but Daniel Roberts finishes most of his fights in the first round.
Prediction: Daniel Roberts

* Featherweight bout:
United States – Mike Brown vs. Brazil – Diego Nunes

Each of Diego Nunes’ WEC fights ended in a judges’ decision.  Mike Brown finished 6 of his 10 fights over the past 3 years, winning two others by decision and losing the other two.
Prediction: Mike Brown

Preliminary card

(lon TV/ESPN UK/Rogers Sportsnet)

* Middleweight bout:
United States – Phil Baroni vs. United States – Brad Tavares

Baroni has lost 7 of his last 12, and Tavares is still undefeated (with only one of those wins coming by decision).
Prediction: Brad Tavares

* Lightweight bout:
United States – Marcus Davis vs. United States – Jeremy Stephens

This is my pick for a potential fight of the night, or at least one of the superlatives, as both of them tend to collect those awards.  Stephens has lost 3 of his last 5, and while Marcus Davis doesn’t have a much better recent record, I do like the quality of opponents the “Irish Hand Grenade” has faced.
Prediction: Marcus Davis

* Featherweight bout:
United States – Josh Grispi vs. United States – Dustin Poirier

This fight should be over quickly, as both guys have a tendency to finish things in the first round.  They both have good records, but Josh Grispi has more well-known opponents on his resume like Micah Miller and Jens Pulver.
Prediction: Josh Grispi

Main card

* Lightweight bout:
United States – Clay Guida vs. Japan – Takanori Gomi

Guida is a very talented fighter who has won some superlatives, but there’s a reason why Gomi is such a big name in the weight class.
Prediction: Takanori Gomi

* Welterweight bout:
United States – Nate Diaz vs. South Korea – Dong Hyun Kim

Nate Diaz has a great record and tons of superlatives, but Dong Hyun Kim is undefeated as a professional with 6+ years experience, and that’s hard to predict against.
Prediction: Dong Hyun Kim

* Light Heavyweight bout:
United States – Brandon Vera vs. Brazil – Thiago Silva

Both of these guys have been impressive, but here’s what I can tell you.  Brandon Vera looked great against Randy Couture in a fight which most people thought the judges scored incorrectly, and I don’t fault Vera (or anyone) for losing to Jon Jones.  Thiago Silva has done a great job in his fight, most recently losing to Rashad Evans after three full rounds – reportedly with three herniated disks in his back during that fight.  I’d have to think Silva’s back is healed, staying with this fight booking after backing out of a scheduled bout back in August.  Because I’d find it hard to believe Vera will lose three in a row, and because Silva might have some cage rust, I’ll predict Vera breaks his losing streak.
Prediction: Brandon Vera

* Middleweight bout:
United States – Chris Leben vs. United States – Brian Stann

After losing two fights, Brian Stann has gone at least 3 minutes into the third round in his past four fights.  Chris Leben has won his last three, including a big win over heralded Yoshihiro Akiyama back in July.
Prediction: Chris Leben

* Lightweight Championship bout:
United States – Frankie Edgar (c) vs. United States – Gray Maynard

This fight is so tough to predict.  Neither one of them are great at finishing fights, and neither one of them have lost a fight other than by decision.  Maynard is undefeated and Edgar’s only loss was by decision to Gray Maynard.  Two of Maynard’s last three fights were won by split decision, meaning he nearly didn’t get to have a title shot.  Frankie Edgar did the improbable TWICE by beating B.J. Penn, so I won’t bet against him now.
Prediction: Frankie Edgar