Another UFC card, another set of predictions.  If you check out the MMA portion of GuysNation, you’ll see that I’ve done predictions for every UFC card going back over 16 months.  This night of action hails from Germany, and although there are no titles on the line, there are several fights which look to be entertaining.  The casual fans might not tune in because they don’t see a lot of names they recognize, but those who do tune in will likely be in for some entertainment – capped off by a #1 Contender’s fight in the Middleweight division.

Feel free to join me in predicting fights.  Pick as many or as few as you’d like, and you’ll be entered into the prediction contest which ends with UFC 125.  The winner isn’t picked by the number of victories he (or she) correctly predicts.  It’s based on percentage… though you’ll need to predict a minimum number of fights to be deemed relevant.  Just leave your predictions in response to this article.

Preliminary card

* Welterweight bout:
United States – Kris McCray vs. Brazil – Carlos Eduardo Rocha

My hometown loyalty wants me to pick McCray, who fought and won his first 5 fights in Fairfax, Virginia.  The problems are thus:  Carlos Eduardo Rocha is 8-0, has finished most of his fights in the first round by varying types of submissions, and here’s the kicker – all of Rocha’s experience is over in Germany, and fighters are notorious for stumbling when they’re forced to cross the Atlantic Ocean.  So as badly as I’d like to pick McCray (who has an impressive record of his own prior to the loss in the finale of The Ultimate Fighter), my brain tells me to go with Rocha.  If McCray wins, I’d like to invite him to do an interview with GuysNation so I can formally apologize and promise not to pick against him again.

Prediction:  Carlos Eduardo Rocha

* Light Heavyweight bout:
United States – Seth Petruzelli vs. Czech Republic – Karlos Vemola

Karlos Vemola losing to Jon Madsen wasn’t a big problem to me, as I think Madsen has a decent future in the UFC.  I’m going with Petruzelli because his losses have been by submission, and I don’t see Vemola doing that.

Prediction:  Seth Petruzelli

* Welterweight bout:
United States – Duane Ludwig vs. England – Nick Osipczak

Duane Ludwig has lost three of his past four fights.  Not good.  Nick Osipczak has lost his past two, but they were both by decision, and I liked what I saw from both fights.

Prediction:  Nick Osipczak

* Welterweight bout:
Germany – Pascal Krauss vs. England – Mark Scanlon

Both Krauss and Scanlon have good records, but Krauss is on home field turf, and Scanlon is a replacement fighter for Krauss’ initial opponent.  This one’s almost a coin flip.

Prediction:  Pascal Krauss

* Light Heavyweight bout:
Belarus – Vladimir Matyushenko vs. Brazil – Alexandre Ferreira

Ferreira is 10-1 in the past 5 years, but he hasn’t fought in 13 months, and he’s never fought in UFC before.  I’m actually impressed by Matyushenko, whose only losses in the past 5 years are to some tough fighters – Jon Jones and Rogerio Nogueira.

Prediction:  Vladimir Matyushenko

* Middleweight bout:
Australia – Kyle Noke vs. United States – Rob Kimmons

I really liked how Noke performed back in June, so this one’s easy for me.

Prediction:  Kyle Noke

Main card

* Light Heavyweight bout:
Canada – Krzysztof Soszynski vs. Croatia – Goran Reljic

I really like both of these fighters.  Krzystof’s last fight was great, and although it ended in a loss, it doesn’t keep me from really liking his style.  I also don’t mind the fact that he lost to Brandon Vera by decision, as Vera’s one of the top in the weight class.  Even though Reljic lost his last two fights, I’m picking Goran to win the fight as he returns to the Light Heavyweight division where he’s undefeated at 8-0.  Those losses at Middleweight don’t bother me at all, especially because he was trying to return to fighting after a back injury which kept him out for two years.

Prediction:  Goran Reljic

* Welterweight bout:
United States – Amir Sadollah vs. Germany – Peter Sobotta

Even though Peter Sobotta is from Germany, that doesn’t necessarily increase his odds of victory in this fight.  Germany is where he suffered two of the three losses in his career, including his UFC debut.  A third loss in a row might mean Sobotta fails to remain a part of the UFC family, so this fight (which would be his third straight loss if he’s not the winner) is likely the most important of his career.  Amir Sadollah has done well in the UFC aside from his first loss (by an uppercut in the first 20 seconds of the fight which some might call “lucky”) and his last fight – where he lost to the undefeated Dong-Hyun Kim by decision.  As much as I hate to predict a guy is going to lose his job, I have to go with Sadollah… and it’s not just because he’s from my home state of Virginia.

Prediction:  Amir Sadollah

* Lightweight bout:
Germany – Dennis Siver vs. England – Andre Winner

Andre Winner hasn’t looked as sharp since losing The Ultimate Fighter, going to decision in two of those three fights.  Dennis Siver has finished 4 of his last 6 fights, getting Knockout Of The Night honors in two of those fights, and only one loss in that span.

Prediction:  Dennis Siver

* Middleweight bout:
United States – Jorge Rivera vs. Italy – Alessio Sakara

Sakara has knockout victories in two of his past three fights (all three wins) since slipping up in his Middleweight debut.  Rivera can say the same thing, but his opponents didn’t include James Irvin and Thales Leites.

Prediction:  Alessio Sakara

* Middleweight bout:
United States – Nate Marquardt vs. Japan – Yushin Okami

Yushin Okami is a really good fighter, and while I could see him doing well if he were to win this fight and become the #1 Contender for the Middleweight Championship, I just can’t pick against Nate “The Great” Marquardt.  The last time Nate was in this position to get a shot at Anderson Silva, he lost to Chael Sonnen by decision.  Other than that fight, Marquardt has looked great.  The Germany fans are in for a great fight with this one, but I just have the strong feeling that Marquardt is going to get that title shot.

Prediction:  Nate Marquardt

Reminder: Join me in predicting fights.  Pick as many or as few as you’d like, and you’ll be entered into the prediction contest which ends with UFC 125.  The winner isn’t picked by the number of victories he (or she) correctly predicts.  It’s based on percentage… though you’ll need to predict a minimum number of fights to be deemed relevant.  Just leave your predictions in response to this article.