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Robert Griffin III won't have to wait very long for the Redskins to pick him. Photo courtesy Jay Janner/Austin American-Statesman

Here it is, this is it. I’m locking in my final answers and submitting my fourth and FINAL mock draft. As I’ve struggled with trying to foresee these first 32 picks for the last month, I’ve come to a few realizations. And, with the draft starting tomorrow, I thought I’d share them with you now.

-There’s no such thing as a perfect mock draft. In every attempt I’ve made, there’s always a guy that feels too low or goes to a team that doesn’t seem like the right fit. And since I’ve given it a go four times now, I’m sure the same will be true for the real draft. On here, the guys I’ve struggled the most with finding an appropriate home are Michael Floyd and Stephon Gilmore. I wonder if the same will be true tomorrow night.

-There will be a position run. One thing I’ve noticed in these mock drafts is a lot depends on if a lot of guys are taken in early in a position of need. If Riley Reiff and Matt Kalil are Top 10 picks, that bodes very well for the draft stock of Jonathan Martin and Mike Adams. If Stephon Gilmore and/or Dre Kirkpatrick are taken in the top half of the draft, it’s all the more likely that someone will take Janoris Jenkins and/or Alfonzo Dennard in the first round. Whichever position starts going off the board early will ultimately shape the rest of the first round.

-I am not right. I’m sorry if you had money riding on anything to the contrary. But, realistically, Rupert Murdoch has a better chance of becoming the British Prime Minister than I do of getting these 32 picks correct. Or maybe even 20 of them. Or 10. You see, as soon as one team takes someone other than who you predicted, the draft changes entirely. This is what I’ve tried to show in my multiple versions of these mock drafts.

But enough with all that. Here is the version four of my mock draft. You’ll notice added to this last version is the Pick Trade Meter. It serves as an indication of how likely the team currently possessing the pick is likely to trade it.

Sorry, conspiracy theorists, Luck is going to be the first player taken in the 2012 draft. Photo courtesy Dave Gonzales/Stanford Athletics

1. Indianapolis Colts
Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford
This pick is already in the bank. The Colts have told Luck he will be the number one overall pick and who am I to disagree? Looks like Indy has a new franchise quarterback.
PICK TRADE METER: 0.0/10

2. Washington Redskins
Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor
Since Luck is going first overall, this pick might as well also have already been announced. The Redskins didn’t move up the board to take the punter Bryan Anger and there guy is sitting just where they hoped he would be. The Redskins take the new face of their franchise, RG3.
PICK TRADE METER: 0.0/10

3. Minnesota Vikings
Matt Kalil, OT, USC
Minnesota has a lot of needs, but Kalil is arguably the best available on the board. Justin Blackmon is great, but he isn’t exceptional. Some scouts think Morris Claiborne may not even be the best corner in the draft. Trent Richardson might be the best feature back prospect since Adrian Peterson, but the Vikings already have that guy. Meanwhile, Kalil might be the best blindside blocker to come along since Jake Long and the Vikings will be looking to protect Ponder.
PICK TRADE METER: 1.0/10

4. Cleveland Browns
Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama
Again, I disagree with this pick for a number of reasons. First, I believe the Browns have enough talent in the backfield for now. Second, there are premium player available here at positions they need. Third, the running back position, even with a guy like Richardson, is overrated. Still, the winds seem to be blowing in Richardson’s favor here.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Trent Richardson, Version 2.0: Justin Blackmon, Version 3.0: Trent Richardson
PICK TRADE METER: 6.0/10

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU

There are a number of ways Tampa Bay can go here, but at the end of the day I still think they take Claiborne. LeGarrette Blount has already voiced his opposition to the team drafting Richardson and that’s even assuming he’s still on the board. The team could use an inside linebacker, but how much do they like Kuechly? Assuming they don’t care too much about his Wonderlic score, which they shouldn’t, Claiborne still appears to be the way to go here.
PICK TRADE METER: 4.0/10

6. St. Louis Rams
Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State

Realistically, Blackmon won’t fall farther than here at number six. He could go to Cleveland or even Tampa Bay or Minnesota, but those scenarios don’t seem too likely. Blackmon may not be a future hall of famer, but he is big and athletic and can make an impact in St. Louis immediately.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Justin Blackmon, Version 2.0: Riley Reiff, Version 3.0: Justin Blackmon
PICK TRADE METER: 3.5/10

7. Jacksonville Jaguars
Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame
Something about this pick makes me queasy and it might just be my inane sense that Jacksonville is where promising talent goes to die. The Jaguars have so many needs they could go in a million directions and last year’s pick, Gabbert, was an absolute catastrophe. But Floyd has the potential to be an NFL playmaker from Week 1, and that’s just what the Jags are looking for.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Riley Reiff, Version 2.0: Michael Floyd, Version 3.0: Quinton Coples
PICK TRADE METER: 5.0/10

8. Miami Dolphins
Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M

Again, I’m not a big Tannehill guy by any means, but when you smell smoke you’d be crazy not to suspect a fire. Everything seems to point to Tannehill going to the Dolphins. If he doesn’t, it might be the biggest surprise of the first round (especially if he goes to a team lower down without them trading up to get him), but I’m not one to bet on the black sheep here.
PICK TRADE METER: 2.5/10

9. Carolina Panthers
Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State
I’m going to stick with my pick in Cox here. He is the best interior defensive lineman available in the draft and may give Carolina their best inside presence since Kris Jenkins. One way or another, I think Carolina will address defense here so Cam Newton doesn’t have to continually lead the offense down the field for forty points a game.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Dontari Poe, Version 2.0: Quinton Coples, Version 3.0: Fletcher Cox
PICK TRADE METER: 4.5/10

10. Buffalo Bills
Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa

The Bills have been looking for a tackle ever since Jason Peters. Some people think Jonathan Martin has a higher upside, but his rawness makes him a real question mark. Reiff is more polished and, thus, the better prospective tackle. He comes in looking to solidify the O-line immediately.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Luke Kuechly, Version 2.0: Luke Kuechly, Version 3.0: Luke Kuechly
PICK TRADE METER: 3.0/10

Kuechly has a Hall of Fame ceiling, but a name that doesn't ring any bells to most football fans. Photo courtesy Matt Cashore/US Presswire

11. Kansas City Chiefs
Luke Kuechly, ILB, Boston College
I’m extremely bullish on Kuechly but I don’t think my bias has gotten the best of me here. The Chiefs could use a new interior linebacker and Kuechly is EASILY the best in the class. And at number 11, he’s anything but a stretch. Tough and cerebral, he is just the sort of “quarterback-of-the-defense” linebacker Kansas City is looking for.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Melvin Ingram, Version 2.0: Trent Richardson, Version 3.0: Dontari Poe
PICK TRADE METER: 5.5/10

12. Seattle Seahawks
Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina

Coples or Ingram? Coples or Ingram? Coples or Ingram?! I would bet anything that that is the debate going on in the Seattle war room right now. Defensive end is EASILY their most pressing need but which one do they go with? Ingram is undersized but Coples figures to be a selfish underachiever. Right now most tend to think Ingram is the safer option and I’m inclined to agree.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Quinton Coples, Version 2.0: Melvin Ingram, Version 3.0: Melvin Ingram
PICK TRADE METER: 4.0/10

13. Arizona Cardinals
Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford

I can almost guarantee the Cardinals will take a tackle with their first pick, the only question is who. And really, all the answer to that question entails is who will still be available. Jonathan Martin is the third-best tackle on most people’s boards. He can’t play right tackle like Reiff and that may not jive well with the re-signing of Levi Brown but I’m still fairly confident that they will take him here.
PICK TRADE METER: 5.5/10

14. Dallas Cowboys
Mark Barron, SS, Alabama

There’s no doubt the Cowboys have interest in Barron, but will someone leapfrog them and snatch him? There’s too many “ifs” and “buts” to worry about and the fact of the matter is the Cowboys will be the first to come on the clock with legitimate interest in Barron. So, naturally, he goes to “Big D” in the mock draft.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: David DeCastro, Version 2.0: David DeCastro, Version 3.0: David DeCastro
PICK TRADE METER: 6.0/10

15. Philadelphia Eagles
Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina

Big ego? Lack of motivation? Looking out for ‘numero uno’? How does Quinton Coples NOT fit in Philly? Okay, that may be a little unfair, but the fact of the matter is Andy Reid LOVES taking defensive lineman and he could use one or two in this year’s draft. Whether it’s an interior lineman or an end is sort of six in one/half-dozen in the other, but Coples easily has the highest ceiling of any players left midway through the first round.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Michael Brockers, Version 2.0: Dontari Poe, Version 3.0: Whitney Mercilus
PICK TRADE METER: 7.0/10

16. New York Jets
Whitney Mercilus, DE, Illinois

The Jets undoubtedly will be looking for an outside pass rusher at number 16, and it may be another defensive end converted to linebacker. Before you conjure up images of Vernon Gholston 2.0, keep in mind that there are plenty of viable candidates out there. Reports say the Jets love Melvin Ingram, but they would probably have to trade up to get him. The closest thing like Ingram is Whitney Mercilus, the capable and versatile end from the Fightin’ Illini.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Whitney Mercilus, Version 2.0: Whitney Mercilus, Version 3.0: Mark Barron
PICK TRADE METER: 6.5/10

17. Cincinnati Bengals
David DeCastro, OG, Stanford

If DeCastro is still available here, Cincinnati will be all smiles. The Bengals biggest need by far is at guard and DeCastro is that one prospect who busts the myth about Guard not being a “first round position”. Can he be unavailable come Cincy’s first pick? Sure, but I lay before you a perfectly reasonable scenario of how he DOES fall to them.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Stephon Gilmore, Version 2.0 Stephon Gilmore, Version 3.0: Michael Floyd
PICK TRADE METER: 5.0/10

18. San Diego Chargers
Cordy Glenn, OT/OG, Georgia

The Chargers need a right tackle and a guard. Luckily for them, Cordy Glenn is a first-round talent that can play both positions. In fact, he may be the ONLY first round talent that can play BOTH positions EFFECTIVELY. Ryan Mathews just felt like the right pick for San Diego when he was coming up and I get the same tingly feeling with Glenn here.
PICK TRADE METER: 3.5/10

19. Chicago Bears
Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis

There’s a stark divide amongst pro scouts over Poe and I’m not convinced he is the most popular choice in the windy city. Some scouts believe the Poe that shows up on ho-hum game tapes against even more mediocre opponents is the real Poe. Others believe it is the workout wonder that dropped jaws at the combine. Phil Emery says they have about seven guys they are looking at with the nineteenth pick, and Poe could easily be one of them. So I’m penciling him in here.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Andre Branch, Version 2.0: Andre Branch, Version 3.0: Michael Brockers
PICK TRADE METER: 3.0/10

20. Tennessee Titans
Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina

Simply put, the departure of Cortland Finnegan makes cornerback the Titan’s most pressing need. Some see Gilmore as a potential Top 10 pick, but that may be reaching a bit. Here, at 20, not only is he an excellent value but he is easily the best second-best corner in the class. There’s no doubt his polished skill set is NFL-ready, but having defensive tackle Michael Brockers also available will be very tempting.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Dre Kirkpatrick, Version 2.0: Mark Barron, Version 3.0: Stephon Gilmore
PICK TRADE METER: 4.5/10

Kirkpatrick is one of several talented Crimson Tide players that should here their name called on the first night of the draft. Photo courtesy Mark J Rebilas/US Presswire

21. Cincinnati Bengals
Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama

If the Bengals miss out on Stephon Gilmore by one pick (whether it be at 17 or 21) it’s going to sting a bit. But the teams in need of premier corners from the draft are so closely bunched together it’s quite possible it could happen. In this case, the Titans beat the Bengals to Gilmore and Cincy, in turn, takes Dre Kirkpatrick.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Michael Floyd, Version 2.0: David Wilson, Version 3.0: Dre Kirkpatrick
PICK TRADE METER: 5.5/10

22. Cleveland Browns
Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech

There are so many needs, even with Trent Richardson in the bag, that it’s hard to predict where Cleveland will go here. They need MULTIPLE new wide receivers, and, at 22, the Browns have an interesting choice between Hill and Kendall Wright. Wright is undersized but lightning fast whereas Hill is much taller and, therefore, more of a jump ball threat. I think the Browns go with Hill.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Stephen Hill, Version 2.0: Mike Adams, Version 3.0: Stephen Hill
PICK TRADE METER: 4.0/10

23. Detroit Lions
Mike Adams, OT, Ohio State

Detroit is in an interesting position at number 23. The departure of Eric Wright instantly makes cornerback a need and there aren’t too many of those. But with Kirkpatrick and Gilmore gone, the next available, Janoris Jenkins, becomes a bit of a stretch. The Lions could also use a right tackle and Mike Adams, concerns and all, is a very real possibility. I think the Lions take Adams and hope to address corner in the second round.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Janoris Jenkins, Version 2.0: Dre Kirkpatrick, Version 3.0: Mike Adams
PICK TRADE METER: 6.0/10

24. Pittsburgh Steelers
Dont’a Hightower, ILB, Alabama
Hightower is a good fit for Pittsburgh. The Steelers need an NFL-ready inside linebacker and Hightower is a hard-nosed, physical tackler that shares a lot of the tenets of Pittsburgh’s defensive philosophy. The Steelers also need help on their O-line keeping Big Ben upright, but they address that later in the draft as the amount of first round talent is sorely depleted here by the time they come on the clock.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Mike Adams, Version 2.0: Dont’a Hightower, Version 3.0: Dont’a Hightower
PICK TRADE METER: 5.0/10

25. Denver Broncos
Michael Brockers, DT, LSU

The Broncos need address several needs in the draft specifically on defense. First and foremost should be the defensive line and, luckily for the Broncos, they come on the clock here with the talent pool largely untouched. Brockers is an excellent value at 25 and would likely be a starter for Denver from day one.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Fletcher Cox, Version 2.0: Fletcher Cox, Version 3.0: Andre Branch
PICK TRADE METER: 4.0/10

26. Houston Texans
Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor

Replacing Mario Williams will be tempting for the Texans who had their first satisfactory season on defense since their genesis, but Andre Johnson needs help at wide out. Since Johnson already gives them a big, physical receiver, I don’t believe the Texans need to reach down and grab a guy like Rueben Randle and, if they want to, they should trade down. Instead, Wright is a speedy, local talent that has all the makings of a fan favorite.
Original Picks  - Version 1.0: Devon Still, Version 2.0: Courtney Upshaw, Version 3.0: Courtney Upshaw
PICK TRADE METER: 5.5/10

27. New England Patriots
Andre Branch, DE, Clemson

If you look below, you’ll see three different original picks for New England. That fact of the matter is there will be plenty of talent on the defensive side of the ball and the Patriots, if they stay at 27, will happily take the best available. In this case, it is Branch.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Courtney Upshaw, Version 2.0: Michael Brockers, Version 3.0: Devon Still
PICK TRADE METER: 7.0/10

28. Green Bay Packers
Courtney Upshaw, OLB, Alabama

Clay Mathews needs some serious help opposite him and Upshaw may be the best option in the entire class. With someone with so much upside, there’s no guaranteeing he’ll be available this late. But if the Packers really love Upshaw, don’t be surprised if they go up and get him.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Kendall Reyes, Version 2.0: Kendall Reyes, Version 3.0: Nick Perry
PICK TRADE METER: 6.5/10

29. Baltimore Ravens
Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin

Seeing as how the Ravens have the best quarterback in the NFL (at least, according to him), it seems only natural that they’re going to address one of their many needs on the offensive line here. Their two biggest needs are guard and center but, after David DeCastro, there isn’t much first round talent at guard. Peter Konz is arguably a Top 20 talent making him a great value just short of pick 30.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Dont’a Hightower, Version 2.0: Peter Konz, Version 3.0: Peter Konz
PICK TRADE METER: 3.5/10

30. San Francisco 49ers
David Wilson, RB, Virginia Tech

Last year’s offensive unit at times was so conservative it seemed to directly contradict the city it represents. The Niners got Crabtree some help/competition via free agency, but Frank Gore isn’t getting any younger and hasn’t had a perfectly healthy season since, well, probably Pop Warner. It’s time for San Francisco to get him some help and share the workload in the backfield.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Kendall Wright, Version 2.0: Janoris Jenkins, Version 3.0: Janoris Jenkins
PICK TRADE METER: 4.0/10

31. New England Patriots
Devon Still, DT, Penn State

The Patriots come on the clock again in an interesting position. They’ve already made one pick to help the defensive line, so would two be overkill? Devon Still is a much better talent than Janoris Jenkins or Alfonzo Dennard, the two best corners still available, and I don’t think the Patriots can afford NOT to spend this second pick on the defense.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: Mark Barron, Version 2.0: Nick Perry, Version 3.0: Alfonzo Dennard
PICK TRADE METER: 7.5/10

32. New York Giants
Coby Fleener, TE, Stanford

The Giants lost Mario Manningham, but the rise of Victor Cruz will help fill that gap a bit. What the Giants could really use is another tight end in the stylings of Jeremy Shockey or Kevin Boss. Fleener is the best tight end in a very, very shallow class. The Giants are going to want to grab him here.
Original Picks – Version 1.0: David Wilson, Version 2.0: Devon Still, Version 3.0: Coby Fleener
PICK TRADE METER: 4.0/10

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NOTE: This story was originally published on SportsHead. To read this article and others click here.
Again, make sure you’re following Bryan on Twitter @bclienesch for LIVE GuysNation draft analysis Thursday and Friday evening!

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