mock-draftWith only 3 weeks to go until the Draft, it’s time for one of the final updates to my mock draft. There are some major changes, including one big jump up the board and one very big fall. This will be the penultimate update before the final one on Draft Day.

1) Houston – Blake Bortles, QB, UCF
Nothing has changed and despite Clowney being an option, the Texans will still take Bortles. He’s done nothing to change the perception that he’s the top QB in the draft since the combine, plus he’ll be going into a pretty good situation with plenty of guys to throw to in Houston.

2) Atlanta(from St Louis) – Jadeveon Clowney, DE, South Carolina
If the Texans pass on Clowney, then the Falcons will absolutely trade up to nab him. Not only does he fill perhaps their biggest need, but he’s what some consider the best pass rusher to come along in a long time. They probably won’t have to give up too much, given what Miami gave up to move from 12 to 3 last year.

3) Jacksonville – Khalil Mack, OLB, Buffalo
Logic dictates the Jags take a QB, so that means they’ll probably pass and take one in Round 2. At least if they whiff on one there it won’t be as bad as whiffing on Gabbert. In that case at least they take the pass rushing force that is Khalil Mack.
Previous: Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville

4) Cleveland – Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson
It’s looking like the Browns will wait until their other 1st rounder or next year to get a franchise QB. In that case what better way to help him then with the draft’s most dynamic offensive weapon? Adding Watkins to Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron will make for a very talented receiving corps.

5) Oakland – Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State
First big surprise of this update. Whereas Carr was #4 on the QB ranks before, he has shot up to #2 for some teams due ot uncertainty with Bridgewater and Manziel. A QB is definitely in play for Oakland and they’ve been heavily linked to Carr recently.
Previous: Khalil Mack, OLB, Buffalo

6) St Louis(from Atlanta) – Greg Robinson, OT, Auburn
The Rams will be more then happy to trade down a few spots and get a few extra picks. They’ll be even more thrilled that Robinson is still on the board and waste no time in taking him. It makes even more sense given concern over Jake Long’s injury and the need to protect Sam Bradford.

7) Tampa Bay – Mike Evans, WR, Texas A&M
WR was already a big need for the Bucs, but became even more important since they traded Mike Williams to Buffalo. Evans becomes the odds on choice at this juncture and gives another weapon to whomever plays under center.
Previous: Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M

8) Minnesota – Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville
If both Bridgewater and Manziel are available, then the Vikes will go with the former. It was a reach when they took Ponder, but it might be considered a steal to land Bridgewater here since he could go higher.
Previous: Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M

9) Buffalo – Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M
The Bills need to help EJ Manuel and at this point their best options are Jake Matthews and Eric Ebron. They’ll go with Matthews because he is too good to pass up at this point and could even push Cordy Gleen at left tackle.
Previous: Mike Evans, WR, Texas A&M

10) Detroit – Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State
The Lions got their WR in Tate to take pressure off of Megatron, so they can turn their attention to fixing the secondary. Justin Gilbert is the top option there and would instantly upgrade their middling pass defense.

11) Tennessee – Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA
After free agency, rush linebacker is the Titans’ biggest need, so that makes Barr the obvious choice here. He was a force for UCLA this past season and could only get better, plus he could start from the very beginning.

12) NY Giants – Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan
The O-line struggled last season and the offense suffered as a result. Given the need for a tackle it would be hard to see them passing on a talent like Lewan at this point, despite some character red flags.

13) St Louis – Haha Clinton-Dix, S, Alabama
While they could use some help at corner, safety is the bigger need and Clinton-Dix is the top guy at the position, who can can play deep or closer to the line of scrimmage.

14) Chicago – Aaron Donald, DT, Pittsburgh
The Bears need someone to play inside on the D-line and Donald has been seperating himself from the pack at the DT position. He followed up his strong season with a good showing at the Combine.

15) Pittsburgh – Darqueze Dennard, CB, Michigan State
The Steelers had problems covering top recievers last year and that could be fixed with the selection of Dennard who plays with physicality and toughness.

16) Dallas – Timmy Jernigan, DT, Florida State
Fixing the D-line interior is arguably the ‘Boys biggest need, despite their signings of Henry Melton and Terrell McClain and Jernigan makes sense at this juncture. That is unless Jerry trades back and takes another center.

17) Baltimore – Brandin Cooks, WR, Oregon State
Joe Flacco sure missed Anquan Boldin this season and would definitely like a replacement, which won’t be Steve Smith. The contest to be the 3rd WR is fluid and in this update it’s Cooks.
Previous: Odell Beckham Jr, WR, LSU

18) NY Jets – Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina
The Jets need offensive playmakers because Geno Smith needs all the help he can get and Ebron is a top option with his mix of athleticism and physicality. He could go as high as #9, so he’s a steal here.

19) Miami – Zach Martin, OG/OT, Notre Dame
Miami needs multiple OL upgrades for reasons that should be obvious. Martin has the versatility to play at either tackle or guard, which fits in with the team’s two biggest needs.

20) Arizona – Ra’Shede Hageman, DE/DT, Minnesota
Darnell Dockett is getting older and Hageman could be his long-term replacement. He’s the best player on the board and was a monster for the Golden Gophers last season.

21) Green Bay – Calvin Pryor, S, Louisville
The safety position was a disaster for the Pack last season and since they didn’t do much in free agency it becomes a priority in the draft. Pryor’s playmaking ability will certainly help remedy that.
Previous: CJ Mosley, ILB, Alabama

22) Philadelphia – Kony Ealy, DE/OLB, Missouri
The Eagles didn’t get much pressure form their linebackers outside of Trent Cole. Though a DE at Mizzou, the talented Ealy could make the transition to OLB.
Previous: Calvin Pryor, S, Louisville

23) Kansas City – Odell Beckham Jr, LSU
The Chiefs still need a receiver opposite Dwayne Bowe and get one in Beckham who can also help out in the return game.
Previous: Marqise Lee, WR, USC

24) Cincinnati – Jason Verrett, CB, TCU
Leon Hall torn his ACL for the second time last season and Pacman Jones and Terrance Newman are getting older. Needless to say some youth is needed at the position to go along with Dre Kirkpatrick.

25) San Diego – Louis Nix III, DT, Notre Dame
The Bolts do not have a starting caliber nose tackle on their roster. Enter Nix whom they would be thrilled to get at this point.
Previous: Kony Ealy, DE/OLB, Missouri

26) Cleveland(from Indianapolis) – Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M
BOOM. Obviously the biggest shock of this mock, but wildly differing opinions abound on Manziel. This could turn in a repeat of last year where a hyped QB makes a larger then expected fall, though Manziel’s won’t be as big as Geno Smith’s.
Previous: Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State

27) New Orleans – Dee Ford, DE/OLB, Auburn
A pass rusher will be high on the Siants’ list of needs since they face Newton and Ryan twice a year. Ford could wreak havoc off the edge, likely as an outside linebacker.

28) Carolina – Marqise Lee, WR, USC
The Panthers’ group of receivers is so bad that they signed Jerricho Cotchery to be a top target. While Lee had a down year in 2013, he still has the tools that won him the Biletnikoff.
Previous: Brandin Cooks, WR, Oregon State

29) New England – Stephon Tuitt, DE/DT, Notre Dame
Vince Wilfork is still a Patriot, but he’s getting older and is coming off an ACL injury. Tuitt could play anywhere on the D Line and evantually take over for him inside.
Previous: Louis Nix III, DT, Notre Dame

30) San Francisco – Kyle Fuller, CB, Virginia
The Niners cut Carlos Rogers and Tarell Brown signed with the Raiders so they signed Chris Cook. Despite that they still need a corner, perhaps two.

31) Denver – CJ Mosley, ILB, Alabama
Wesley Woodyard signed with the Titans, but he struggled at middle linebacker anyways. Mosley, who falls in this update, would be an obvious upgrade.
Previous: Ryan Shazier, LB, Ohio State

32) Seattle – Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Florida State
Russell Wilson really had nothing to work with at receiver last season, so they need a to take a wideout, especially since Tate left for Detroit.